Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 1.071122 1.290666 1.523161 1.785843 2.072613 2.374565 2.714952
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.771647 1.070719 1.410680 1.817718 2.284559 2.796878 3.395541
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.601448 0.932912 1.330249 1.825410 2.411686 3.071525 3.858878
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.442365 0.780429 1.210082 1.767924 2.449133 3.234044 4.188454
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.324505 0.657299 1.106178 1.711997 2.472581 3.366905 4.471665
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.241277 0.565580 1.029799 1.679301 2.515007 3.514896 4.766478
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.194656 0.519362 1.007937 1.711169 2.632968 3.750056 5.161713
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.151709 0.469589 0.974528 1.722704 2.721570 3.947080 5.509812
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.108036 0.406837 0.914288 1.691756 2.751092 4.068294 5.764213
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.096546 0.404193 0.944748 1.786390 2.944141 4.392582 6.265639
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.087662 0.404942 0.979616 1.886896 3.145050 4.727224 6.780669
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.082110 0.411906 1.024102 2.001230 3.364741 5.086192 7.326607
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.072163 0.409050 1.056652 2.105977 3.582720 5.457074 7.905566
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.054610 0.381230 1.045142 2.145885 3.714742 5.721676 8.357624
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.037314 0.344743 1.013747 2.152576 3.798838 5.923002 8.729427
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.019035 0.288841 0.939977 2.090005 3.784467 5.995847 8.940089
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.007586 0.239571 0.870420 2.028218 3.766946 6.061459 9.139127
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002219 0.203356 0.820136 1.992267 3.782027 6.166419 9.384713
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000686 0.189114 0.814176 2.027356 3.897956 6.403761 9.798070
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000021 0.170543 0.795705 2.040070 3.980721 6.596865 10.155195
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.143063 0.751316 2.005974 3.993426 6.695617 10.391172
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.147771 0.786765 2.110152 4.210093 7.067899 10.978606
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.153726 0.825583 2.220554 4.436475 7.453878 11.584521